Jaguars at Titans: Week 10 prediction
Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET · Nissan Stadium · NFL 2026, Week 10
Projected final27–17
JAX 27, TEN 17
JAX 27, TEN 17
Win chance in the sims80%
Jaguars
Jaguars
MarketJAX −10.5
Total 46.5
Total 46.5
What the sims say
| Bet | Line | Sims |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | JAX −10.5 | JAX covers 50%, TEN 50% |
| Total | 46.5 | Over 50%, under 50% |
| Average score | JAX 29, TEN 17.9 | One-score game 38% |
Game picks
- JAX −10.5: 54% in the sims · Thin edge
Why
- Score-based ratings make it TEN +13.0 vs the market TEN +10.5: 2.5 points toward JAX.
- Ratings project 44.3 total points vs a 46.5 market total (-2.2).
- Rest edge: TEN has 4 more days of rest.
- TEN at home since 2021: average margin -2.3, -0.9 vs the closing spread over 46 games.
The sims play every snap of this game 500,000 times, tuned to the market spread and total. The projected final is the most common score at the sims’ typical margin and total.
See the full game, film and props in the live hub