Rams at Cardinals: Week 10 prediction
Sun, Nov 15, 4:05 PM ET · State Farm Stadium · NFL 2026, Week 10
Projected final23–13
LA 23, ARI 13
LA 23, ARI 13
Win chance in the sims77%
Rams
Rams
MarketLA −9.5
Total 39.5
Total 39.5
What the sims say
| Bet | Line | Sims |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | LA −9.5 | LA covers 50%, ARI 50% |
| Total | 39.5 | Over 50%, under 50% |
| Average score | LA 24.8, ARI 15.3 | One-score game 41% |
Why
- Score-based ratings make it ARI +7.4 vs the market ARI +9.5: 2.1 points toward ARI.
- Ratings project 47.6 total points vs a 39.5 market total (+8.1).
- ARI starts Carson Beck instead of usual starter Jacoby Brissett. The ratings come from games he did not start, so the market line is more reliable here.
- ARI at home since 2021: average margin -3.9, -3.2 vs the closing spread over 44 games.
The sims play every snap of this game 500,000 times, tuned to the market spread and total. The projected final is the most common score at the sims’ typical margin and total.
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