Seahawks at Raiders: Week 10 prediction
Sun, Nov 15, 4:05 PM ET · Allegiant Stadium · NFL 2026, Week 10
Projected final24–17
SEA 24, LV 17
SEA 24, LV 17
Win chance in the sims69%
Seahawks
Seahawks
MarketSEA −6.5
Total 40.5
Total 40.5
What the sims say
| Bet | Line | Sims |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | SEA −6.5 | SEA covers 50%, LV 50% |
| Total | 40.5 | Over 50%, under 50% |
| Average score | SEA 23.8, LV 17.6 | One-score game 46% |
Why
- Score-based ratings make it LV +8.1 vs the market LV +6.5: 1.6 points toward SEA.
- Ratings project 46.4 total points vs a 40.5 market total (+5.9).
- LV starts Fernando Mendoza instead of usual starter Kirk Cousins. The ratings come from games he did not start, so the market line is more reliable here.
- LV at home since 2021: average margin -1.8, -0.8 vs the closing spread over 47 games.
The sims play every snap of this game 500,000 times, tuned to the market spread and total. The projected final is the most common score at the sims’ typical margin and total.
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