Texans at Browns: Week 10 prediction
Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET · Huntington Bank Field · NFL 2026, Week 10
Projected final24–20
HOU 24, CLE 20
HOU 24, CLE 20
Win chance in the sims64%
Texans
Texans
MarketHOU −4.5
Total 41.5
Total 41.5
What the sims say
| Bet | Line | Sims |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | HOU −4.5 | HOU covers 50%, CLE 50% |
| Total | 41.5 | Over 50%, under 50% |
| Average score | HOU 23.4, CLE 18.9 | One-score game 48% |
Why
- Score-based ratings make it CLE +5.2 vs the market CLE +4.5: 0.7 points toward HOU.
- Ratings project 41.6 total points vs a 41.5 market total (+0.1).
- CLE at home since 2021: average margin +1.1, +0.6 vs the closing spread over 45 games.
The sims play every snap of this game 500,000 times, tuned to the market spread and total. The projected final is the most common score at the sims’ typical margin and total.
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