Week 9 recap: the Morning After
Every pick was logged before kickoff. Here is how they did, wins and losses alike.
Picks this week55–64
46% hit
46% hit
Winners called by the sims14 of 15
Projected finals, average miss14.3
points, both teams combined
points, both teams combined
By pick type
| Pick type | Record | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|
| Best value | 7–15 | 32% |
| Safest | 16–10 | 62% |
| Model leans | 1–0 | 100% |
| Prop looks (stand-in) | 3–1 | 75% |
| Prop looks vs market | 27–26 | 51% |
| All Out Ambush | 1–5 | 17% |
| Pack Hunt | 0–7 | 0% |
Boldest hits
- Dak Prescott More 262.5 Pass yards · All Out Ambush · DAL @ IND · 49% before kickoff
- Under 45.5 · Best value · BUF @ MIN · 50% before kickoff
- Under 45.5 · Safest · BUF @ MIN · 50% before kickoff
Worst misses
- Parker Washington Less 0.5 Anytime TD · Safest · JAX @ BAL · 65% before kickoff
- Rashod Bateman More 13.5 Receiving yards · Best value · JAX @ BAL · 62% before kickoff
- Bhayshul Tuten More 13.5 Receiving yards · Best value · JAX @ BAL · 61% before kickoff
The sims
- Closest: DAL at IND, projected 27–24, final 27–23
- Closest: DEN at CAR, projected 27–24, final 26–21
- Closest: TB at CHI, projected 20–27, final 24–27
- Biggest upset: GB at NE, final 45–27, with the sims giving NE 57%
- Furthest film: HOU at LAC, projected 20–17, final 44–22
Season record since the current model: 55–64 (46%).
Week 9 predictions · Week 10 predictions
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